Chapter 87
Prophecy, prophets, oracles and divination; foretelling the future.
848 passages · 353 principal · Covers the 49 volumes of primary texts
Prophecy, in the books gathered here, covers every claim to know what has not yet happened. That includes the oracle at Delphi and the Sibyl’s cave, the seer reading the flight of eagles, the dream that warns a sleeper, the astrologer casting a nativity, the bard foretelling the ruin of a dynasty, and the Hebrew prophet whose words Christian apologists read as fulfilled in Christ. The idea is great because it joins several large questions. One is about knowledge: can the future be known, and by what faculty? Another is about God: is foreknowledge his alone? A third is about fate: can a foretold doom be escaped? The last is about evidence: can fulfilled prediction prove a revelation true? Tragedians and historians, saints and skeptics, poets and peasants take up these questions, and their answers seldom agree.
The first dispute concerns the source of foreknowledge. Pascal states the strictest view. He holds that God alone can declare things to come, so that foretelling is itself the proof of divinity, and no idol or ordinary writer can do it1,2,3. Even pagan religion grants this in part. Aeschylus’s Apollo insists that his prophetic seat never spoke anything but what Zeus commanded4. Lessing observes that miracles and prophecy impressed the Jews only once they recognised them as belonging to God alone5.
Against this stands a natural account of prediction. Cicero trusts his own powers of divination, drawn from study and experience. He sets his record of foretelling the war’s disasters against augury by birds and sacred chickens, and he reads the future from Caesar’s character and the state of affairs6,7,8. Hobbes makes the distinction formal. True foresight belongs to God, but naturally the best prophet is the best guesser9. Browne likewise calls the foretelling of natural effects prognostication, not prophecy10. The moderns extend the natural side. Darwin ventures a forecast of which species will prevail11. Taine supposes that if historical forces could be measured, the character of a future civilization could be deduced from them12,13. Channing, more modest, disclaims any gift of foretelling the results of great social change14. Milton dramatizes the dispute when Satan argues that prediction requires human means and Christ refuses the argument15.
A third view places prophecy in inspiration. Euripides links prophecy to frenzy, in which the god speaks the future16. Virgil’s Sibyl is seized by Apollo and transformed in voice and frenzy17. Hobbes, however, denies that Moses and Abraham prophesied by possession; God spoke to them by voice, vision or dream18,19. Socrates’ divine sign belongs to neither type. It is an inward voice he has heard since childhood, and it forbids but never commands20. Pascal turns inspiration inward: to prophesy is to speak of God from immediate feeling rather than outward proof21. The Romantics carry this further. Sidney recalls that the Roman word *vates* meant both poet and prophet22,23. Shelley calls poets mirrors of the shadows that futurity casts on the present, though not prophets “in the gross sense”24,25. Emerson declares the spirit of prophecy innate in every man26.
The oracles of the gods hold the ancient imagination. Aeschylus traces Delphi’s oracle back through Earth and Themis27. Herodotus derives the oracles of Dodona and Ammon from two temple women of Thebes28. Socrates’ whole mission begins when the Pythian prophetess says no one is wiser than he. He then treats her answer as a riddle to be tested rather than a command29,30. Herodotus records oracles that are fulfilled against expectation. Psammetichos doubts the promise of bronze men from the sea until armoured Ionians land31. Amasis trusts the oracles that convicted him of theft and scorns those that absolved him32.
The great tragic test is Oedipus. Jocasta argues that mortals have little skill in prophecy and vows to count all oracles as naught, because Laius was not killed by his son, as she believes, and Polybus has died a natural death33,34,35. The play refutes her. Later authors stress the oracles’ ambiguity and deceit. Dante sets his ancestor Cacciaguida’s plain answer against the dark speech of pagan oracles36. Hobbes lists oracles, Sibyls, augury and dreams as vain conceits that feed on fear and ignorance37. Milton has the oracles fall dumb at Christ’s birth, and he has the Son say that God replaces them with an inward oracle, the Spirit of Truth38,39. Browne marvels that the wise passed over the oracles’ cessation so lightly40.
The seer stands between heaven and the city. Homer’s Halitherses and Theoclymenus read bird omens of Odysseus’s return41,42. Aeschylus’s Calchas reads the eagles and the hare, and his foreknowledge is fore-sorrow43,44. Teiresias is the type of the seer who serves the state. His prophecies, the chorus says, have never failed Thebes45. Yet the seer meets scorn. Oedipus mocks Teiresias as a mountebank who sees clearly only for pay and suspects he was suborned46,47. Creon charges that seers love gold48, and in the *Bacchae* Teiresias is accused of inventing gods and signs for profit49. These charges are sometimes just. Demosthenes suspects the Pythia was bribed for Philip50, and Hume describes Alexander the false prophet deceiving the Paphlagonians and even Marcus Aurelius51. Cassandra suffers the opposite fate. Her prophecy is true, but no one believes it52,53,54. Christ’s saying that no prophet is accepted in his own country gives that fate a name55.
Omens and portents make up most of popular divination. Prometheus claims to have taught men to read dreams, bird flights and entrails56. Plutarch’s generals wait on favourable sacrifices before battle57,58, and the Germans of Tacitus divine by lots and sacred horses59. Prodigies crowd the histories: a palm springing at Caesar’s statue, a comet after his murder, sweating statues before Antony’s war60,61,62. Shakespeare’s Horatio recalls the same signs63. Shrewd men use them. Themistocles stages prodigies and interprets the wooden walls to suit his policy64. Caesar puts a Scipio at the head of his army to claim an oracle for himself65. Edward reinterprets his fall on landing as a good token66.
Scorn is ancient too. Eurymachus says not all birds are birds of fate41, and the Utopians despise divination by birds67. Pascal explains that eclipses seem to foretell misfortune only because misfortunes are common68. Bacon judges popular prophecies to be winter talk that does mischief69. Browne, on the other hand, thinks the omens that come before the ruin of states may be warnings from good angels70. Among sailors and peasants the signs persist: the corposant read for weather71, the cheucau’s cry that governs the Chilotans72. Haskell reports presentiments before battle that never proved untrue73.
Dreams raise the same debate in miniature. Chaucer’s Chauntecleer cites Macrobius, Daniel and Joseph, and tells of murdered men and shipwrecks foretold in dreams. He concludes that no one should be reckless of dreams74,75. The sagas repeat the pattern: wives dream of bears, rivers and blood, and their husbands explain the dreams away to their ruin76,77. Plutarch records Calpurnia’s dream before Caesar’s murder, and Decimus Brutus mocking the diviners78. Interpretation is an art in itself. Joseph reads the king’s dream as seven years of plenty and seven of famine79. Brahmans read the queen’s dream as foretelling a Buddha80, and Malory’s hermits expound the knights’ visions81. Dante holds that dreams near dawn presage truth82. Augustine’s Monica is careful. She claims to distinguish God’s revelations from the dreams of her own soul83. Walton cites Donne’s vision of his wife and her stillborn child, confirmed to the hour84.
Astrology meets a sharper refutation. Augustine first trusts the astrologers, but the story of Firminus convinces him otherwise. A master’s son and a slave born under the same stars had opposite destinies, as did the twins Esau and Jacob, so true predictions come by chance and not by art85,86. Dante sets the diviners in Hell with their heads twisted backward87. Dryden notes that Augustus believed in the art and that he himself does not88. Comedy exposes the fraud: Jonson’s Subtle reads palms and foreheads for gain89,90, and Pliny’s Regulus feigns astrology to win a legacy91. Burns, by contrast, records the Halloween charms of the peasantry with affection, as a passion for prying into futurity92,93.
In epic and tragedy, prophecy marks out the course of destiny. Teiresias foretells Odysseus’s trials and a gentle death from the sea94. Odysseus shares Circe’s warnings so that, knowing them, his men may escape95, which suggests that foreknowledge allows some choice. Virgil’s Jove foretells the line from Ascanius to Caesar, and the Sibyl foretells wars on the Tiber96,97. Dante’s shades foretell his exile and the bitter bread of others98,99. Gray’s bard and Cowper’s Druid foretell the fall and rise of dynasties and of Britain100,101. Renan traces a Celtic messianism that waits for Arthur’s return102.
The darker strand is the deceiving prophecy. Banquo warns that instruments of darkness tell truths in order to betray103. Macbeth finally curses the fiends who keep their promises to the ear and break them to hope104. Calderón goes further. Basilio misreads the stars and imprisons his son, and so creates the savage the stars predicted105,106. Here the fulfilment of a prophecy may be the prophet’s own work. Bacon offers the skeptic’s explanation: men note the hits, forget the misses, and forge most prophecies after the event107.
The most sustained argument in these books treats fulfilled prophecy as the proof of revelation. Luke presents Christ as one who fulfils Moses and the prophets and who foretells his own Passion and Peter’s denial108,109. Peter reads Joel and David as foretelling the Spirit and the resurrection110. Pascal builds an apology on this ground. Prophecies proved true by events are solid proofs of Christ’s divinity111. Anyone may call himself a prophet, but no impostor can bring his predictions to fulfilment112. A whole people testified for four thousand years to a single event113,114. Every sign coincided at the Messiah’s advent, including Daniel’s seventy weeks and the departure of the sceptre from Judah115,116. He follows Daniel’s visions of kingdoms in historical detail117,118,119.
Pascal’s argument has a paradoxical turn. The Jews kept the books incorrupt and yet rejected Christ, so they fulfilled the prophecies they preserved and serve as witnesses above suspicion120,121. The obscurity of prophecy is part of the design. Prophecies with two meanings prove that Christ has come122. God foretold the time clearly and the blessings obscurely, so that the good understand while the wicked read them as promises of material goods123. The obscurities were themselves foretold124. Pascal even concedes that prophecies and miracles are not absolutely convincing, only reasonable to believe125.
The skeptics press exactly here. Hobbes allows that a divine calling may be attested by true prophecy, but only because prophecy is itself a miracle126. Hume agrees that prophecies are real miracles and can prove revelation only as such127. Since he notes how often such marvels are forged128, the concession leaves prophecy as exposed as miracles are. Rousseau demands that a person witness both the prediction and the event and know that the match was no accident. Without that, prophecy proves nothing129,130. Lessing thinks the proof matters less now131, and Emerson finds prophecy relegated to ancient history132.
The scriptural traditions also describe the prophet’s office. Paul ranks prophecy among the Spirit’s gifts and prefers it to tongues because it lays bare the unbeliever’s heart133. Thomas à Kempis and Penn, however, count prophecy as nothing without grace or charity134,135. The Koran presents a line of apostles who are warners: Noah, Hud, Salih and Shuaib, each called a liar by his own people136,137. It insists that Muhammad is neither soothsayer nor madman but a mortal messenger and the “Seal of the Prophets”138,139,140. Pascal answers that Christ was foretold and Mahomet was not141. In the Buddhist writings, Dipamkara foretells Sumedha’s Buddhahood ages in advance142. Machiavelli gives a political reading: armed prophets have triumphed and unarmed ones, like Savonarola, have been destroyed143.
Last come the predictions of the end. Luke’s Christ foretells Jerusalem’s fall and cosmic signs144, but he says the times are reserved to the Father145. Browne accordingly calls the fixing of the day madness, since every age has thought the end was near146,147.
Several questions remain open across these books. The natural forecaster and the inspired seer have never been cleanly separated, since Cicero’s reasoned guesses and Taine’s laws invade ground once kept for gods. Whether a foretold fate leaves room for freedom divides Odysseus’s useful warnings from Oedipus’s inescapable oracle and Calderón’s self-made doom. Whether obscurity counts for prophecy or against it divides Pascal from Rousseau. Shelley and Emerson make prophecy an attribute of every visionary soul, and in doing so may enlarge the idea or dissolve it.
Introductory essay written by Claude Opus 5.5 from the outline and the notes on every passage below; quotations are checked against this edition.
See also: God 4a
See also: Poetry 3c
See also: Religion 5a
See also: Religion 5a
See also: Fate 5a
See also: War and Peace 8e
See also: Family 10c
See also: Religion 5a
See also: Miracles 8a · Religion 5a · Fate 5c
See also: Courage 8b
See also: Memory and Imagination 7a
See also: Memory and Imagination 7a · Chivalry 6b
See also: Miracles 7b · Angel 5c
See also: Astronomy and Cosmology 6a
See also: Chance 6d
See also: Custom and Convention 8c · Emotion 5g
See also: Fate 5b · Miracles 7b · Chivalry 6a · Tyranny 5b
See also: Fate 7a · Punishment 10d
See also: Monarchy 9b · Miracles 2a · Race and Nationality 7a
See also: Race and Nationality 7c · Religion 14c · History 3d · Punishment 10b
See also: Sign and Symbol 7c · God 2c
See also: Race and Nationality 7d · History 3d
See also: Miracles 5e · Religion 3c
See also: National Character 6b · Religion 3c
See also: Religion 14c